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Not Fit for Purpose
Not Fit for Purpose 1536 650 Chris Downs

In Brief

His Majesty’s Inspectorate of Constabulary (HMICFRS) has completed a wide inspection of firearms licensing across England and Wales. The headline is blunt but the underlying message is familiar. The system is inconsistent, under‑resourced and reliant on outdated technology. The report highlights good practice in several forces and makes clear that many licensing teams are doing their best within a framework that has grown unevenly over decades. This is largely a system fault rather than a failure of frontline staff.

The report brings to light issues shooters have experienced for decades but many of the recommendations are unrealistic and would be unworkable in practice.

For the typical shooter the practical impact is likely to be limited. The most likely changes are internal to the police. The more dramatic proposals are unlikely to progress quickly, if at all.

However, the report will unsettle policing and may lead to short‑term caution or disproportionate response in some forces.

Forces are likely to acknowledge the report and commit to improvement but are not expected to support the more radical proposals. Most change will be internal and administrative.

A clear interest in and understanding of the licensing landscape is now more important than ever for anyone who wants to safeguard their future shooting.

For the Full Report

HMIC Firearms Licensing

What the inspection actually says

HMICFRS identifies themes that explain the current weaknesses in firearms licensing:

  • inconsistent decision making
  • variable use of medical information
  • weak governance and oversight
  • uneven training and staffing
  • outdated technology
  • poor collaboration between agencies

None of this will surprise certificate holders. Most shooters have experienced the postcode lottery between forces. HMICFRS is essentially confirming what has been evident for years.

The report also highlights examples of good practice. Some forces have strong governance, clear decision making and good communication with certificate holders. The inspection is not a blanket criticism of police. It is a criticism of a system that has developed without consistent national direction and includes substantial reference to the Home Office.

HMICFRS is clear that some forces deliver strong, consistent licensing and these examples show that improvement is achievable without rewriting the law.

What matters to the shooter

More structured medical checks

Expect forces to focus more on GP information and to take a closer interest in ongoing conditions. This may mean more paperwork and slower turnaround but it does not mean automatic refusal.

More consistent suitability checks

HMICFRS wants forces to apply the same risk thresholds. For shooters this should reduce variation between forces. It may mean more structured questions at renewal but nothing dramatic.

Digital modernisation

NFLMS is likely to be replaced. A national digital register is strongly favoured. This would allow real time verification of certificates and cleaner records for transfers. There will be disruption while systems change but the long-term effect should be positive.

Fees and resourcing

Licensing units are under pressure. Fees have already increased and will rise again. The expectation is that better resourcing will lead to more predictable service but currently there is no direction to the police to re-invest this additional funding into firearms licensing.

Most likely changes

These are the reforms that can be delivered without new legislation and without major political debate. They are operational, low cost and already aligned with Home Office direction.

  • stronger medical checks
  • more structured suitability assessments
  • improved ongoing monitoring
  • replacement of NFLMS
  • introduction of digital verification
  • better use of technology in licensing units
  • clearer Leadership within forces
  • national training standards
  • updated police job profiles
  • improvements to visitors permits and importation processes

These are the changes shooters are most likely to see over the next few years. They are administrative rather than restrictive.

Least likely changes

These proposals require primary legislation, significant funding or political appetite. None of these currently exist.

  • a single national firearms licensing authority
  • a complete rewrite of firearms legislation
  • alignment of section 1 and section 2 regimes
  • removal of the presumption of grant
  • mandatory competence testing
  • creation of a national appeals tribunal

Alignment of section 1 and section 2 has very limited support among shooters, clubs and MPs. It is one of the least feasible proposals in the entire report.

Why only limited change is expected

There are three reasons why the impact on shooters is likely to be modest.

  1. The inspection identifies system faults not police failings Most problems stem from outdated technology, uneven resourcing and inconsistent national direction. These are slow to fix.
  2. The most ambitious proposals require legislation Legislative time is scarce and firearms law is politically sensitive. Government is unlikely to prioritise a full rewrite.
  3. Operational improvements can be made without changing the law Forces can tighten medical checks, improve governance and adopt new digital systems without waiting for Parliament.

The result is predictable. Administrative changes will happen. Structural and legislative changes will not.

What shooters should do now

  • allow more time for renewals
  • expect more structured questions at grant and renewal
  • take licensing seriously but avoid unnecessary worry

The inspection should push forces to modernise and standardise but this will be one of many pressures on policing to improve.

Against a raft of other demands on policing it is unlikely to lead to sudden or dramatic changes to shooting.

We continue to campaign for a fairer, better system to Support Responsible Shooting.

If our guidance helps keep you informed please consider becoming a member or supporting us via the button on bottom left of the screen. It makes a real difference to the work we can do.
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Behind the Numbers 4
Behind the Numbers 4 2560 1708 Chris Downs

What the New NPCC Data Really Shows

The NPCC has released its first dataset of the 2026/27 reporting year and for the first time, forces are publishing grant and renewal performance separately.

This article breaks down a complex set of data into plain language. We keep it simple and focus on things that matter to the shooting community.

We’ll tell you about the big things and then talk about how your Forces measures up.

  • Temporary Permit Ranking
  • Revocation & Refusal Ranking
  • Productivity Rating
  • Grant Timeliness

These are the indicators that tell shooters what life is really like in each force area.

We rank each Force according to how it performs in these areas (1 best to 43 worst) to make it as easy as possible to compare against the others.

If Forces perform the same then they share the ranking. Approximately ten Forces all have no Temporary Permits. So they all share a ranking of 1 and Dorset is number 11.

The Big Picture – What Shooters Need to Know

When you combine all three metrics, the national picture becomes clear:

Temporary permits are now the clearest indicator of force health

Nationally numbers continue to increase. If you pay attention to only one set of numbers. These are the ones you should be looking at.

Nationally these are increasing at an alarming rate.

The reduction in numbers of Certificate Holders continues

A loss of approximately 40,000 since the start of 2025.

Some forces are genuinely excellent

Cheshire, Cumbria, Merseyside, Derbyshire, Lincolnshire, South Yorkshire, Kent, North Wales.

Some forces are under serious strain

Surrey, Sussex, Suffolk, Northumbria, Humberside, Bedfordshire, Cambridgeshire – these forces show high temporary permits, higher revocation/refusal rates, and lower productivity.

Collaboration areas consistently struggle

BCH, Surrey/Sussex, Norfolk/Suffolk, Staffs/WMP all perform poorly

Grant SLA finally exposes the truth

Renewals were masking delays. Now we can clearly see why it is so difficult for people to access the sport for the first time.

Temporary Permits

A temporary permit is usually issued when a force cannot complete your application in time.

Some forces issue almost none. Others issue hundreds.

The worst performers include:

  • Humberside (43rd)
  • Bedfordshire (42nd)
  • Durham (41st)
  • Cambridgeshire (40th)
  • Hertfordshire (39th)

These forces are struggling to keep up with demand, and shooters in these areas should expect delays, slow grants, and a higher chance of being placed on a temporary permit.

At the other end of the scale, forces like Cleveland, Derbyshire, Kent, Lancashire, Leicestershire, South Wales, South Yorkshire issue almost none – a sign of stability and good workflow.

 

Revocations & Refusals

How likely is this to happen to you?

This metric shows how often a force revokes or refuses certificates relative to the number of holders it manages.

Some forces revoke or refuse far more often than others.

The highest‑risk forces include:

  • South Yorkshire
  • Greater Manchester Police
  • Gwent (Although this rate is coming down)
  • West Mercia
  • West Yorkshire

The lowest‑risk forces include:

  • Wiltshire
  • Avon and Somerset
  • Northamptonshire

In real terms of how likely you are to be refused or revoked. Shooters in:

South Yorkshire are 7.6× more likely

West Yorkshire are 6.5× more likely

West Mercia are 5× more likely

Than if they lived in Wiltshire.

Productivity

How much work gets done

Productivity is the closest thing shooters have to a real turnaround measure. It shows how many certificates a force processes in comparison to how many Holders it manages.

High productivity = fast turnaround. Low productivity = slow, backlog‑heavy workflow.

The fastest forces include:

  • West Yorkshire
  • Cumbria
  • Derbyshire

The slowest include:

  • Durham
  • Warwickshire
  • Surrey
  • Essex
  • Bedfordshire

This is where shooters feel the difference most – how long it actually takes to get a certificate in hand.

New Shooters

This table shows how many new applications each force completes within the official 4‑month target.

The big picture is simple: your postcode determines your wait time, and the gap between the best and worst forces is enormous.

Across England and Wales, a handful of forces are doing genuinely excellent work on new applications, consistently hitting the 4‑month SLA and giving shooters fast, predictable turnaround.

Cheshire, Merseyside, Derbyshire, Cumbria, Cleveland, Nottinghamshire, Dyfed‑Powys, South Yorkshire and Thames Valley stand out as the strongest performers.

The Final Table

Limitations and Manipulation

No data will ever be perfect. The police are limited by an archaic computer system that does not make it easy to produce and analyse this information.

The information provided and our analysis now gives shooters the opportunity to understand performance in a way that has never previously been possible.

BUT – There are a variety of ways in which this data is open to manipulation and the fact that each Force works differently makes it even more difficult.

Take BCH for example. There is no denying the progress that has been made with the reduction of their Temporary Permits but this data suggests that somewhere in the region of a third of BCH grants are being completed within 4 months.

On the basis of our considerable experience and evidence we have gathered it is difficult to believe that this is anything other than data manipulation. In this case a huge delay between receiving the application and it being entered into the system. The clock only starts once it is in the system.

References:

Analysis of this kind is fraught with issues. Any challenges, corrections or queries should be sent to info@firearmslicensing.net.

Any errors made are unintentional and those pointed out will be publicly corrected.

To see the data in full please visit –

https://www.npcc.police.uk/publications/All-publications/

and look in “Operations Coordination Committee”

This Quarter’s data in full is available here:

2026-27-q1-firearms-licensing-data
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Police Scotland
Police Scotland 2560 1707 Chris Downs

Introduction

We are proud to work in collaboration with Police Scotland on shared priorities that support responsible ownership and community wellbeing.

That collaboration does not compromise our independence; it strengthens it.

By engaging openly with policing bodies while maintaining our own clear, evidence‑based voice, we are better able to advocate for fair, proportionate and consistent licensing outcomes across the UK.

When policing bodies take steps that align with the principles we have championed from the very beginning – openness, early support, and stigma‑free engagement – we believe it is important to do everything we can to ensure those messages are heard clearly and confidently by certificate holders.

From the outset, we have consistently argued that seeking help early is a hallmark of responsible ownership, not a risk factor – a position reflected throughout our Speaking Up, Staying Safe guidance and in every piece of advice we provide.

This Police Scotland initiative aligns closely with the principles we have been advocating:

  • open conversation rather than silence,
  • support rather than fear,
  • proportionate temporary measures rather than crisis‑driven revocation,
  • and a licensing system that recognises strength in early help‑seeking.

We welcome the opportunity to share this work with the wider community because it represents meaningful, practical progress – not only for Scotland, but for the firearms sector as a whole.

It reinforces the direction of travel we have long believed in: a licensing environment where wellbeing is taken seriously, early engagement is encouraged and responsible owners are supported rather than stigmatised.

Mental Heath Awareness & Support

The Scottish Firearms Mental Health Awareness and Support Partnership is completely changing how we look after the well-being of our shooting, farming, and rural communities in Scotland.

Devised by Police Scotland’s National Firearms and Explosives Licensing Unit, this initiative is a first for the UK. It brings together country sports groups, farming unions, and mental health charities with one clear goal: making it safe and normal for firearms certificate holders to talk about their mental health. The core message is simple: asking for help is a sign of responsibility, not weakness.

Seek Support

For a long time, many people in the shooting community have kept their struggles to themselves out of fear. There is a lingering worry that admitting to mental health challenges means an automatic loss of your firearm, shotgun or air weapon certificate. Police Scotland is collaborating with partners to challenge this perception by handling every situation with real understanding, fairness, and care. When someone steps forward early to ask for help we recognise they are a responsible owner who takes safety seriously. Identifying when things are getting tough and acting quickly is the biggest show of strength a certificate holder can display.

This open communication allows the police to support people through tough times without jumping straight to permanent penalties and allows for temporary measures to be considered ahead of removing guns or revocation.

The Partnership

The partnership builds on the invaluable work of the Firearms and Mental Health Awareness and Support leaflet which has been circulated to every certificate holder in Scotland. This straightforward guide gives certificate holders and their families clear, practical advice on how to access support long before reaching a crisis point.

Building on this momentum, the partnership held a major public awareness drive in the media and at the Royal Highland Show and Scone Game Fair recently.  A large flag bearing the phrase “I pledge to help communities talk openly about mental health and support early action to seek help” was displayed throughout the events and was signed by dozens of people with an interest in the shooting community.  More importantly, it sparked open conversations right on the showground, breaking down historical barriers face-to-face and generating positive relationships.

By sharing this supportive message with families, friends, and colleagues, the partnership ensures that the people closest to certificate holders know how to spot the early signs of mental health. This community-wide safety net helps catch problems early, ensuring people get help when they need it most and helping remove the stigma. It provides constant reassurance to firearms owners that they are safe to speak up, and that seeking help is a true sign of strength.

Chief Inspector Bruce Crawford, who is leading the partnership said

Over thirty organisations are now signed up to drive the work of the partnership showing the genuine desire amongst communities across Scotland to deliver a safe environment where certificate holders and their families feel able to share concerns and seek help.  The work is just beginning and I am very much looking forward to building on this positive start over the coming months.  Help is out there for people and nobody should fear stigma or loss of their guns by seeking that help early.

We are commencing work with trainee gamekeepers to provide supportive messaging as they embark on their new careers, engaging the offshore energy industry and even now have shinty referees across the country providing mental health messaging to hundreds of players in rural areas every week as part of pre-game talks. Additional work is ongoing to develop partnership videos, a dedicated firearms licensing website displaying lived experience and engagement with employers to encourage mental health support in the workplace.

Key Support Partners & Signposting

FirearmsLicensing.Net: Independent Specialists in Firearms Licensing.

Website: https://firearmslicensing.net/speaking-up-staying-safe/

RSABI: Offers free, confidential 24-hour practical, emotional, and financial support to people in Scottish agriculture.

Helpline: 0808 1234 555 | Website: rsabi.org.uk.

Gamekeepers Welfare Trust (GWT): Provides confidential support, financial assistance, and guidance for gamekeepers, stalkers, and wildlife managers.

Helpline: 0300 123 3088 | Website: thegamekeeperswelfaretrust.com.

Change Mental Health: Delivers high-quality, trusted non-crisis mental health support across Scotland.

Helpline: 0808 8010 515 | Website: changemh.org.

Samaritans: Provides round-the-clock emotional support for anyone in distress or struggling to cope.

Helpline: 116 123 | Website: samaritans.org.

Breathing Space: A free, confidential phone service for anyone in Scotland experiencing low mood, depression, or anxiety.

Helpline: 0800 83 85 87 | Website: breathingspace.scot.

NHS 24 Mental Health Hub: Available 24/7 for psychological assessment and support.

Helpline: Dial 111 (and select the Mental Health option).

Scottish Association for Country Sports:

01350 724 228 Website sacs.org.uk

The British Association for Shooting and Conservation:

01350 723 226 Website: basc.org.uk.
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Gwent Police
Gwent Police 280 131 Chris Downs

Introduction

The following update has been provided directly by Gwent Police Firearms Licensing Department.

It is published here exactly as supplied, in line with our commitment to support clear, accurate and unfiltered communication between police forces and the certificate‑holding community.

Sharing these updates helps strengthen collaboration, improve understanding of local developments and reduce avoidable delays or misunderstandings within the licensing process.

All content is hosted within our free information section, ensuring full transparency and confirming that no commercial benefit is derived from publishing police‑issued material.

If any part of the update appears likely to cause difficulty or confusion for certificate holders, we will raise this with the Force first for clarification and discussion

Message from Gwent Police

Dear Certificate Holders,

Gwent Police has introduced a new digital engagement system called Neighbourhood Matters, which supports communication with local communities and groups with shared interests.

We have created a dedicated portal within Neighbourhood Matters for certificate holders. This platform will provide relevant updates on Firearms Licensing and other matters that may affect you. Updates may include changes in legislation, licensing matters, support, guidance, and engagement events.

Over the past eighteen months, the Firearms Licensing Department has undergone a number of changes aimed at increasing engagement and improving service delivery. This has included strengthening relationships with shooting groups, clubs, registered firearms dealers, and national organisations such as FirearmsLicensing.Net and the British Association for Shooting and Conservation (BASC).

An Independent Advisory Group has also been established to support accountability and transparency in decision-making, while providing a forum for discussion and constructive challenge.

In addition, we have reviewed and updated our processes and operating procedures to improve efficiency and responsiveness to queries and requests for support.

We remain committed to building on this progress, further enhancing engagement, and continuing to improve the service we provide.

If you have any queries, please raise them through your local shooting club or representative, or contact us directly using our email address.

The Gwent Police Neighbourhood Matters page can be found by clicking – Gwent Neighbourhood Matters

If you follow this link:   Gwent Firearms Watch you’ll have the option to register and be entered into the Firearms Licencing Gwent-wide group at the same time.

Many thanks,

Gwent Police Firearms Licensing Department
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The Tower
The Tower 1536 1024 Vicky Downs

The Tower

On 3 June, we broke the news that the much‑anticipated National Firearms Licensing Management System (NFLMS or Flimsy) procurement process had moved to its next stage, with Palantir announced as the successful supplier.

This development came as a surprise not only to major shooting organisations, but to several police forces as well. That absence of communication is disappointing, though perhaps not unexpected. It undermines the principle of collaborative reform that should underpin any national transition affecting lawful shooting.

The Tower exists to document, analyse, and support the shooting community as questions and concerns inevitably arise around this potentially controversial contract award. It is a free resource for everyone in the shooting community – trade, clubs and individual certificate holders – offering clear, evidence‑based insight into what is happening and why it matters.

Our work here is funded entirely by membership, yet we believe it is too valuable to hide behind a paywall. If you value our efforts and want to help keep this resource open and accessible to all, please consider joining us. Membership packages start at £12 for the entire year and your support ensures we can continue providing the clarity and accountability our community deserves.

https://firearmslicensing.net/register/

What is NFLMS?

The National Firearms Licensing Management System (NFLMS) – often referred to as Flimsy – is the central database used by police forces across England and Wales to manage some aspects of firearms and/or shotgun licensing. It underpins the licensing process: applications, renewals, revocations and the recording of certificate holders and their firearms.

NFLMS was implemented circa 2006 and despite its critical role, the system is widely regarded as outdated, fragmented and increasingly unfit for purpose. Its limitations, combined with rising demand and scrutiny, prompted the Home Office to pursue a full replacement through a national procurement programme.

What NFLMS doesn’t do?

NFLMS is not a case‑management system. This means police forces must operate at least two systems in parallel to complete the firearms licensing process.

The result?

  • Inefficiencies
  • Duplication of effort
  • Variations in process between forces
  • Delays and inconsistencies experienced by certificate holders

A system capable of combining both the database and case‑management functions would represent a significant operational improvement for policing.

What information does it hold?

Local practices vary but this is what Statutory Guidance to Police says:

5.1 Chief officers should record the following on the relevant national firearms licensing database:

  • (i)  the nominal details of all applicants and certificate holders and the status of those certificates including firearms possessed;
  • (ii)  any information relevant to the suitability of the applicant, including intelligence and allegations or concerns raised even if not proven;
  • (iii)  the reasons for each grant/renewal decision, whether approval or refusal;
  • (iv)  details of any review of suitability, including the reasons for the review and its outcome;
  • (v)  details of any appeal, including the outcome;
  • (vi)  details of storage of firearms;
  • (vii)  dates of visits and inspections, and types of inspection (including RFD inspections);
  • (viii)  whether a medical marker has been added by the GP (if known);
  • (ix)  whether the certificate holder is an officer, former officer, or police staff or former police staff (if known);
  • (x)  the outcome of any checks relating to periods of residence abroad;
  • (xi)  details of the applicant’s GP and referees; and
  • (xii)  any other information the chief officer considers useful.

5.2 Records should not be deleted due to the applicant moving to another force area.

5.3 Records of applicants and certificate holders on the relevant national firearms licensing database should be kept up to date at all times, so that accurate information on possession of firearms is available to local police via the PNC.

5.4 For RFDs, in the event of a variation of a condition, removal from the register or surrender of a dealer’s certificate of registration, an appropriate notification should be sent to all other forces.

In short: NFLMS holds a significant volume of sensitive personal and suitability‑related data and its replacement will have major implications for both policing and the shooting community.

The Replacement Process

The procurement for the NFLMS replacement first surfaced in late 2023, when the Home Office issued early market engagement material outlining its intention to replace the ageing system. Initial documentation described a platform capable of handling national firearms licensing data, integrating with policing systems and supporting improved decision‑making. However, after this early activity, the programme appeared to stall with little visible progress through 2024.

Momentum returned in 2025, when the Home Office reinvigorated the project and issued a more formal Invitation to Tender (ITT). This specification set out a broad ambition: a modern, secure, cloud‑based platform capable of managing national firearms licensing data, supporting operational workflows and enabling improved analytics. The ITT emphasised interoperability with existing policing systems, strong data‑governance controls and the ability to scale nationally across all forces.

What stands out is the limited transparency surrounding the process. Shooting organisations were not consulted and several police forces reported being only partially briefed, informed late in the cycle or not at all. Despite the system’s direct impact on every certificate holder and every licensing team in England and Wales, the communication appears to have been limited.

The announcement of Palantir as the preferred supplier marks a significant shift toward a high‑end, data‑driven platform. While this may offer technical advantages, it also raises important questions about:

  • long‑term governance and data stewardship
  • integration with force‑level case‑management systems
  • cost and contract structure
  • the degree of centralisation the Home Office intends
  • how the system will support -or reshape- local licensing practice

These issues will form a core part of The Tower’s ongoing analysis as more information becomes available.

For more detail see https://pds.police.uk/welcome/about-us/our-expertise/national-firearms-licensing-management-system-replacement/

Why does it matter?

The replacement of NFLMS is not a routine IT upgrade – it is a fundamental redesign of the national infrastructure that governs firearms licensing. The system chosen, the data it holds and the way it integrates with policing will shape how certificate holders are assessed and managed for many years.

But this is not a moment for panic. Nothing changes overnight and no new system can be switched on without extensive testing, governance, and scrutiny. What matters now is understanding the direction of travel: how the new platform may affect processing times, consistency between forces, data handling and the balance between national oversight and local discretion. When a project of this scale progresses with limited consultation, the shooting community is right to ask questions – calmly, constructively, and with an eye on ensuring that any new system improves public safety without eroding fairness, proportionality, or trust.

Palantir in the News

Palantir’s expanding role across UK public services has attracted sustained scrutiny from mainstream media, parliamentary committees, and civil society groups. The reporting below provides wider context for understanding why the NFLMS award is likely to draw attention.

Sky News: Parliamentary committee brands Palantir’s role “unacceptable”

Sky News reports that MPs have warned the UK is becoming over‑reliant on Palantir, calling this an “unacceptable point of weakness” that could leave citizens’ data “at the mercy” of foreign actors. The committee highlighted Palantir’s involvement with the NHS and Financial Conduct Authority, raising concerns about privacy, ethics, and dependency on a small number of US‑based providers.

https://news.sky.com/story/palantirs-role-in-uk-public-services-branded-unacceptable-by-committee-report-13154127

Sky News: Doctors and campaigners urge NHS hospitals to reject Palantir platform

A separate Sky News report describes how doctors, analysts, and human‑rights groups have urged NHS bodies to reconsider adopting Palantir’s £330m Federated Data Platform. Critics argue the rollout is “not going to plan”, with concerns about privacy, spiralling implementation costs, and the displacement of trusted local data solutions.

https://news.sky.com/story/nhs-hospitals-urged-to-reject-330m-data-platform-part-owned-by-trump-ally-13519263

The Guardian: Officials warn Palantir’s reputation could hinder NHS rollout

The Guardian reveals that internal briefings to ministers warned Palantir’s reputation — including its work with ICE and the Israeli military — could undermine public trust and hinder the rollout of the NHS data platform. MPs have described the company as “ghastly” and “highly questionable”, calling for greater transparency around its public‑sector contracts.

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2026/feb/12/nhs-deal-with-ai-firm-palantir-called-into-question-after-officials-concerns-revealed

LBC: Why Palantir is controversial

LBC summarises the core concerns: Palantir’s widening reach across UK public services, its origins in US security and immigration operations, and ethical questions surrounding its work with the Israeli military. MPs warn reliance on the company creates a “clear vulnerability” for the UK.

https://www.lbc.co.uk/article/what-palantir-uk-why-controversial-5Hjdb68_2/

Business Chief: Public backlash over £600m UK government contracts

Business Chief reports that more than 229,000 people have signed petitions calling for the government to terminate all Palantir contracts, citing concerns about data handling, surveillance, and the company’s work with ICE and the Israeli military. Palantir currently holds around £600m in UK public‑sector contracts across the NHS, MoD, and policing.

https://businesschief.com/news/palantir-faces-backlash-over-600m-uk-government-contracts

Key Points – Next Steps

For certificate holders, the most important message is that nothing changes immediately. The procurement announcement does not alter the law, the licensing process, or your current certificate conditions. Any new system will take years to design, build, test, and implement and will require extensive governance, scrutiny and operational validation before it affects anyone in practice.

What matters now is simply staying informed. Certificate holders should be aware that a more centralised, data‑driven system is being developed and that this may eventually influence how information is shared between forces, how suitability is assessed and how renewals are processed.

But this is a long‑term transition, not an overnight shift. The best next step is to follow developments calmly, understand the direction of travel and ensure your own records, medical arrangements and contact details remain accurate and up to date. The Tower will continue to monitor the process and provide clear, factual updates as more detail emerges.

Open Letter to Home Office and Police

The following letter has been shared with Police Digital Services, the National Police Chief’s Council and the Home Office, with key shooting organisations copied in for transparency.

As the only UK organisation focused exclusively on firearms licensing, FirearmsLicensing.Net is using this space to ensure the community can see the same information being provided to decision‑makers.

The aim is simple: to support clear, consistent communication during the transition to the new NFLMS system and to help reduce uncertainty across the sector.

Sector Comms NFLMS2
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City of London Police
City of London Police 600 600 Vicky Downs

Introduction

The following update has been provided directly by the City of London Police Firearms and Explosives Licensing Unit (FELU).

It is published here exactly as supplied, in line with our commitment to support clear communication between police forces and the certificate‑holding community.

This initiative is designed to strengthen collaboration, improve understanding of local and national developments and help reduce avoidable delays or misunderstandings in the licensing process.

Content is hosted within our free information section, ensuring there is no commercial benefit and maintaining full transparency.

If any material appears likely to cause difficulty or confusion for certificate holders, we will always raise this with the Force first for discussion.

Firearms and Explosives Licensing Unit (FELU)

Newsletter – June 2026

Dear Reader,

You are receiving this Newsletter as a you have been identified as a key stakeholder in relation to management and processing of Firearms and Explosives Licensing by the City of London Police.

This Newsletter is the first of its kind for the City of London Police and is being distributed with the intention of providing key information to stakeholders, as well as to build and maintain relationships with all parties who have a vested interest in Firearms and Explosives Licensing matters.

The City of London Police Firearms and Explosives Licensing Unit is committed to safeguarding the public whilst providing high levels of customer service for our Certificate Holders.

Local Updates

 

A full review into the working practices and policies of the City of London Police Firearms and Explosives Licensing Unit was undertaken in 2025. As a result, significant amendments have been made to local working practices, in line with updates made to the Statutory Guidance for Chief Officers of Police, in relation to Firearms Licensing.

 

National Updates

Lead Ban

The Government has confirmed when restrictions on the sale and use of lead ammunition will come into force in England, Wales and Scotland, as listed below:

Shotgun Cartridges:

The use and sale of lead shot for live quarry shooting will be banned from 1 April 2029.
The use and sale of lead shot for indoor and outdoor recreational target shooting will also be banned from 1 April 2029, with exemptions for elite athletes.

Rifle Ammunition:

The use and sale of lead bullets for live quarry shooting in calibres 6.17 millimetres and above will be banned from 1 April 2029.
Small calibre rifles below 6.17 millimetres, including commonly used pest control calibres, are not affected by the restrictions.
The use of lead bullets for outdoor target shooting will be restricted from 1 April 2028, except at ranges that meet the required risk management measures.

Airguns:

There are no restrictions on the sale or use of lead airgun pellets for either target shooting or live quarry shooting.
The City of London Police FELU understand that these restrictions may impact certain Firearm and Shotgun Certificate Holders. We strongly advise you to speak with a gunsmith to ensure that your shotgun is appropriately proofed for certain non-lead ammunition, and to explore what alternatives are available.

In addition, we understand that certain calibres of firearm may be less suited to non-lead ammunition at this stage, as such we advise you to seek advice on this matter. However, if you do wish to submit a variation we will aim to process this as efficiently as possible.

Please don’t forget to check-zero your rifle if you are changing ammunition type.

Sound Moderators

The Home Office have announced amendments to the Crime and Policing Bill which removes Sound Moderators from their current classification as Section 1 Firearms. This would mean that Sound Moderators would not need to be individually authorised, and a variation would not be needed to add them. However, a new offence of possessing a sound moderator without a Firearm or Shotgun Certificate will be created. This proposed legislation is not expected to effect Sound Moderators used for low powered air rifles and pistols.

In the meantime, Sound Moderators remain classed as Section 1 Firearms.

Consultation into Firearms Licensing

The Home Office is due to publish a consultation into Firearms Licensing which was originally expected to be published in late 2025 but at the time of writing is yet to be published.

This matter has recently been debated in Parliament following a public petition, opposing proposals to merge Section 1 and Section 2 licensing.

The City of London Police FELU does not have any further information regarding this consultation at this stage.

Fees

The Home Office have announced that Firearms Licensing Fees are set to be increased by 3% as of 04th June 2026.

The City of London Police FELU are committed to providing Certificate Holders and Applicants with the high level of customer service.

Upcoming Events  

The City of London Police FELU are not due to attend any specific events within the next three months.

Feedback

If you have any feedback in relation to this Newsletter or you have suggestions for information that you would like to see included then please contact the Firearms and Explosives Licensing Unit via email.

If you have any questions or concerns in relation to Firearms and Explosives Licensing matters, then please contact the Firearms and Explosives Licensing Unit via email.

Our email address is: firearmsexplosiveslicensing@cityoflondon.police.uk

Thank you,

Firearms and Explosives Licensing Unit
  • Vicky Downs
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Behind the Numbers 3
Behind the Numbers 3 2560 1708 Vicky Downs

Introduction

Firearms licensing performance doesn’t grab your attention but it quietly shapes the stability of the entire shooting sector. When forces fall behind, clubs feel the pressure, certificate holders lose confidence and organisations end up spending more time dealing with licensing problems than developing the sport.

It isn’t glamorous, but it matters and it matters more now than ever.

For years, the data behind firearms licensing has been difficult to access, inconsistently presented and in some cases fundamentally flawed. We’ve challenged the National Police Chief’s Council (NPCC) on these issues before, particularly around the way forces report timeliness but little has changed. The published figures still allow forces to appear more efficient than they really are – for example by delaying the point at which applications are entered onto NFLMS or by marking certificates as granted before they are actually issued. These practices distort the picture and make it harder for the shooting community to understand what is really happening.

And yet, despite these flaws, this is the first time that this level of information has been made publicly available. That alone is a step in the right direction. Transparency in firearms licensing has never been more important and even imperfect data can reveal meaningful patterns when analysed properly.

This article looks beyond the headline SLA figures and focuses instead on the measures that genuinely reflect operational performance: true productivity, revocation and refusal activity, and temporary permit usage. When viewed over time, these indicators show a system that is becoming increasingly uneven with some forces performing exceptionally well and others struggling with delays, backlogs and inconsistent decision‑making.

Understanding these trends isn’t just an administrative exercise. It’s about fairness, confidence and the long‑term health of shooting in the UK.

And that’s why it’s worth paying attention.

If you’re hungry for more detail check out:

Behind the Numbers 1 and 2 via these links –

Behind the Numbers

Behind the Numbers 2

At a Glance

In the last 18 months:

Certificate Holders – We started with 506,343 and at last count now have 476,079. That’s a loss of 30,264.

Temporary Permits – We started with 1,501 and at last count now have 3,092. That’s double and shows the strain the system is under.

Across Q4 25/26:

  • The same forces repeatedly appear in the top group across productivity and low permit usage (Cheshire, Lincolnshire, Cumbria, Derbyshire, Nottinghamshire).
  • The same forces repeatedly appear in the bottom group (Bedfordshire, Cambridgeshire, Hertfordshire, Humberside, Surrey, Sussex, West Yorkshire).
  • Forces who show high usage of their refusal and revocation powers (Devon & Cornwall, West Mercia, South Yorkshire) remain consistently high.
  • Temporary permit usage is the clearest indicator of stress and the Q4 data reinforces that pattern.

What all the numbers tell us is that UK firearms licensing is not a single system; it’s a patchwork of very different local realities. Some forces are delivering consistent, high‑quality work, while others are struggling with delays, backlogs, and heavy reliance on temporary permits.

True productivity varies dramatically and the published service level agreement (SLA) figures often mask deeper workflow problems.

Revocations and refusals remain low nationally, but intervention rates differ sharply between forces, reflecting local policy rather than national direction.

Overall, the system is stable in parts, fragile in others and increasingly defined by where you live rather than by national standards.

Q4 2025/26 – Where does your Force rank?

The following image is not perfect but it is designed to enable the average interested shooter to look at their Force and see what their performance is like in comparison to others.

Each Force is ranked from 1 to 43.

For revocation and refusal.

Ranking 1 is the area you are least likely to be refused / revoked.

Ranking 43 is the area where you are most likely to be refused / revoked.

Rank 43 is owned by South Yorkshire where you are almost 18 times more likely to be refused or revoked than if you lived in Staffordshire.

High rates do not necessarily indicate poor practice but it should ask the question – Is the shooting community of South Yorkshire really that different to the shooting community of Staffordshire?

For productivity

Ranking 1 is the Force that completes the most applications per year (Relative to their total number of certificate holders)

Ranking 43 is the Force that completes the least.

As a Force South Wales is almost twice as efficient as Durham.

References:

To see the data in full please visit –

https://www.npcc.police.uk/publications/All-publications/

and look in “Operations Coordination Committee”

Temporary Permits – Change Over Time

Transparency is not a luxury. It’s a duty.
  • Chris Downs
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Storage Costs
Storage Costs 2560 1707 Chris Downs

Introduction:

Temporary Permits should protect certificate holders, not excuse police delays. If you applied in good time, you shouldn’t face unlawful possession or storage costs. This guide explains your rights and how to challenge unfair refusals.

In Brief
Temporary Permits were designed to bridge short gaps, not to excuse systemic delays. Yet many certificate holders find themselves in limbo: unable to renew, unable to purchase, and expected to pay for secure storage simply because their force has not processed their application in time.

This guide explains:

  • When a Temporary Permit should be issued
  • What the law and Statutory Guidance require
  • Whether the police should pay for storage
  • Two template letters: a Notice of Intention to Claim and a Formal Claim
  • A full list of UK police force legal‑services email addresses

The Legal Framework — What Should Happen

The 8‑Week Extension
If you submit your renewal at least eight weeks before expiry, Section 28B of the Firearms Act 1968 automatically grants an eight‑week extension to your certificate. The guidance makes clear that this extension is intended as a safety net for exceptional circumstances where the police are unable to process and decide a case before the original expiry date. It is not intended to be used routinely.

This sixteen‑week window (eight weeks before expiry plus the eight‑week extension) is the basis for the expectation that renewals should normally be completed within four months.

Temporary Permits — What They Are and When They Should Be Issued
The Law
Section 7(1) of the Firearms Act 1968 allows a Temporary Permit enabling continued lawful possession of firearms and ammunition.

The Guidance
The guidance states that a permit should be issued if a certificate holder’s firearm certificate or shotgun certificate has expired and they have made reasonable efforts to renew in good time. This is not optional language. If you applied in good time, the default expectation is that a Temporary Permit should be issued.

What a Temporary Permit Allows

  • Continued lawful possession of the firearms and ammunition already held
  • Purchase of Section 2 shotgun ammunition

A Temporary Permit does not allow:

  • Purchase of firearms
  • Purchase of Section 1 ammunition

Why Some Forces Stopped Issuing Permits – And Why That’s Not Your Problem

In late 2023, around 5,000 Temporary Permits were in circulation. Some forces used them as a way to manage backlogs. Statutory Guidance criticised this practice and numbers dropped sharply. Some forces then incorrectly told certificate holders that they had been forbidden from issuing Temporary Permits. This is untrue. The guidance says forces should avoid routine use, not stop issuing them altogether.

Should the Police Pay for Storage? A Step‑by‑Step Analysis

Step 1 — Did you apply at least eight weeks before expiry?
If yes, you triggered the statutory extension.

Step 2 — Who caused the delay?
Your case is strongest when:

  • You applied in good time
  • You cooperated fully
  • The delay is due to police backlogs or internal processes

Step 3 — What does Statutory Guidance require?
If the police cannot decide within the extension period, the guidance states that they must either work with the applicant to make arrangements for safe, legal storage, or consider issuing a Temporary Permit.

Step 4 — When is the argument for police‑funded storage strongest?
When all of the following apply:

  • You applied at least eight weeks before expiry
  • The delay is police‑caused
  • No Temporary Permit has been issued
  • You are being told to pay for storage solely because the force has not processed your renewal

Step 5 — When is the argument weaker?

  • You applied late
  • You failed to provide required information
  • You ignored reminders
  • Even then, fairness arguments remain if delays were caused by GP reports or other third‑party issues.

Template Letters

Template 1 — Notice of Intention to Claim (Pre‑Claim Notification)

Send this to your firearms licensing team while they are still processing your application. It let’s them know that you intend to claim.

Subject: Renewal Delay – Notice of Intention to Claim Storage Costs and Request for Temporary Permit
Certificate Number: [Insert]

Dear [Licensing Manager / Firearms Licensing Team],

I am writing regarding the renewal of my [firearm/shotgun/both] certificate, which expires/expired on [date]. I submitted my renewal on [date], which was [number] weeks before expiry.

Statutory Extension
Under Section 28B of the Firearms Act 1968, my timely application triggered the automatic eight‑week extension, extending my certificate to [date].

Delay Not Attributable to Me
I have complied fully with all requirements. It appears the delay is due to internal processing issues within the force.

Temporary Permit
Guidance states that a permit should be issued if a certificate holder has made reasonable efforts to renew in good time. As I applied in good time, I request that a Temporary Permit be issued immediately.

Notice of Intention to Claim Storage Costs
If no permit is issued, I will be required to place my firearms/shotguns into storage with [RFD/club] from [date] at a cost of £[amount] per [week/month]. I intend to seek reimbursement of these costs if they arise.

Request
I request:

  • Immediate issue of a Temporary Permit; or
  • Confirmation that the force will meet reasonable storage costs until the renewal is completed.

Please respond within 14 days.

Yours faithfully,
[Name]
[Address]
[Contact details]

Template 2 — Formal Claim for Reimbursement of Storage Costs

Send this once your application is resolved to the email addresses below for your Force.

Subject: Formal Claim for Reimbursement of Storage Costs Arising from Renewal Delay
Certificate Number: [Insert]

Dear [Licensing Manager / Firearms Licensing Team],

I am writing to submit a formal claim for reimbursement of storage costs incurred as a direct result of delays in processing my certificate renewal.

Background

  • Renewal submitted: [date]
  • Weeks before expiry: [number]
  • Statutory extension end date: [date]
  • Date firearms/shotguns placed into storage: [date]
  • Storage provider: [RFD/club name
  • Cost: £[amount] per [week/month]

Delay Not Attributable to Me
I complied fully with all requirements. The delay was caused by internal force processes.
Temporary Permit
Guidance states that a permit should be issued if a certificate holder has made reasonable efforts to renew in good time. Despite this, no Temporary Permit was issued.
Statutory Guidance
Where police cannot decide within the extension period, they must either work with the applicant to arrange safe, legal storage or consider issuing a Temporary Permit. This did not occur.
Financial Loss
I have incurred storage costs totalling £[amount] for the period [date] to [date]. Receipts and invoices are attached.
Claim
I request reimbursement of £[amount], representing the reasonable and necessary costs incurred solely because the force did not complete the renewal or issue a Temporary Permit.

Please confirm reimbursement within 14 days, or provide written reasons with reference to the relevant statutory provisions and guidance.

Yours faithfully,
[Name]
[Address]
[Contact details]

UK Police Force Legal‑Services Email Directory

Please note every effort is made to ensure these are correct but we can not always keep up with changes. If you find one that doesn’t work please let us know.

Avon and Somerset Constabulary – legalservices@avonandsomerset.police.uk
Bedfordshire Police – customersupport@beds.police.uk
Cambridgeshire Constabulary – legaladvice@cambs.police.uk
Cheshire Constabulary – legal.services@cheshire.police.uk
City of London Police – ccs.contact@cityoflondon.gov.uk
Cleveland Police – legal.services@cleveland.police.uk
Cumbria Constabulary – HQLegalServices@cumbria.police.uk
Derbyshire Constabulary – legal@derbyshire.police.uk
Devon and Cornwall Police – legalservices@devonandcornwall.pnn.police.uk
Dorset Police – legalservices@devonandcornwall.pnn.police.uk
Durham Constabulary – legal@durham.police.uk
Dyfed‑Powys Police – LegalServices@dyfed-powys.police.uk
Essex Police – essex.legal.services@essex.police.uk
Gloucestershire Constabulary – legal.services@gloucestershire.police.uk
Greater Manchester Police – CivilLitigation.Unit@gmp.police.uk
Gwent Police – jointlegalservices@south-wales.police.uk
Hampshire Constabulary – civil.litigation@hampshire.police.uk
Hertfordshire Constabulary – legalservices@herts.police.uk
Humberside Police – legalenquiries@southyorkshire.police.uk
Kent Police – legal.services@kent.pnn.police.uk
Lancashire Constabulary – civildisclosures@lancashire.police.uk
Leicestershire Police – legal@derbyshire.police.uk
Lincolnshire Police – legal@derbyshire.police.uk
Merseyside Police – civil.litigation@merseyside.police.uk
Metropolitan Police Service – DLSMailbox-Allocations@met.police.uk
Norfolk Constabulary – legalservices@norfolk.police.uk
Northamptonshire Police – legal@derbyshire.police.uk
Northumbria Police – civil.claims@northumbria.police.uk
North Wales Police – karen.kinsey@nthwales.pnn.police.uk
North Yorkshire Police – legal.servicescentral@northyorkshire.police.uk
Nottinghamshire Police – legal@derbyshire.police.uk
South Wales Police – jointlegalservices@south-wales.police.uk
South Yorkshire Police – LegalEnquiries@southyorks.pnn.police.uk
Staffordshire Police – LS_joint_services@westmidlands.police.uk
Suffolk Constabulary – insurancesection@suffolk.police.uk
Surrey Police – Surreyandsussexclaims@sussex.pnn.police.uk
Sussex Police – civilclaims@sussex.police.uk
Thames Valley Police – legal.enquiries@thamesvalley.police.uk
Warwickshire Police – legal@warwickshire.police.uk
West Mercia Police – legal.hq@westmercia.police.uk
West Midlands Police – ls_joint_services@westmidlands.police.uk
West Yorkshire Police – legal.services@westyorkshire.police.uk
Wiltshire Police – legalservices@wiltshire.police.uk

Final Thoughts

Temporary Permits were never meant to be a substitute for proper resourcing. When delays push certificate holders towards unlawful possession, fairness should not be the first casualty. If you applied in good time, cooperated fully, and the delay is police‑caused, you have a strong basis to argue that a Temporary Permit should be issued and that you should not be forced to pay for storage caused by administrative failure.
  • Vicky Downs
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Dunblane – 30 Years
Dunblane – 30 Years 1707 2560 Vicky Downs

Introduction

On 13th March 1996 the nation suffered profound shock and loss as the actions of a single individual robbed so many of their lives and loved ones.

Any discussion of Dunblane must begin with respect for that grief. But remembering Dunblane also means remembering it truthfully. And truth, in this case, is uncomfortable.

This is a highly emotive subject no matter what side of the debate you fall on but the 30-year anniversary must call for some considered reflection. In the space available I will not do justice to all the issues but there is one theme that remains particularly relevant today.

Narrative

A narrative that followed the tragedy was simple: the law was inadequate.

Yet the evidence presented to the subsequent Cullen Inquiry shows something entirely different. By 1996, the police already had the powers to refuse or revoke a firearm certificate if a person was not fit to be entrusted with a gun or if public safety was at risk.

They had the discretion to impose conditions, restrict access, and intervene early. These powers were not theoretical but rather they were well‑established and routinely used elsewhere.

Missed Opportunities

What Police also had was information. Complaints about the individual’s behaviour around boys’ clubs. Concerns raised by members of the public. Internal unease among officers. A pattern of conduct that, taken together, should have triggered review. The Cullen Report documents these warnings in detail.

One of the most striking pieces of evidence came five years before the shooting. In November 1991, Detective Sergeant Paul Hughes submitted a written recommendation access to firearms be removed. His assessment was stark:

 “He is a scheming, devious and deceitful individual who is not to be trusted… He has an extremely unhealthy interest in young boys.”

This was not rumour. It was a formal, internal warning from a child‑protection specialist. Yet the certificate was renewed. The tragedy is not that the police lacked the tools. It is that they did not use them.

That distinction matters. It matters because when institutions misdiagnose the cause of a failure, they repeat it.

A Consistent Message

I see this pattern often in my work. People sometimes assume that because I spent years in policing, I will instinctively defend the institution.

But in July 2024, I delivered a presentation to a room including police licensing managers, shooting organisations,  and opposition groups. In this I used Dunblane and other tragedies as examples of what happens when a licensing system has the powers, has the information, and still fails to act. The silence in the room wasn’t discomfort. It was recognition.

Everyone there understood that the most dangerous failures in licensing are rarely legislative. They are operational: poor information handling, inadequate resourcing and a lack of focus on the core work.

As Relevant Now

That brings us to today’s debate about aligning Section 1 and Section 2. On the surface, it is presented as an enhancement to public safety. But beneath that sits a familiar instinct: when the system struggles, change the law.

For the shooting community, misdiagnosis doesn’t just distort public debate – it shapes the regulatory pressures they live with for years afterwards.

The lesson of Dunblane is not that Britain needed different laws. It is that the police needed (and still need) the confidence, competence, and support to use the laws they already have.

Reform

As we mark another anniversary, we honour the victims by remembering the truth, not the myth. Dunblane was preventable under the law as it existed. The tragedy was not legislative failure. It was institutional inaction. And if we forget that, we risk repeating it.

That is why, if we want a safer, more resilient licensing system, we must insist on accuracy – in memory, in diagnosis, and in reform.

 

 
  • Chris Downs
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Knife Licences?
Knife Licences? 2560 1800 Chris Downs

Author’s Note:

I originally wrote this piece for Gun Trade Insider magazine, but the implications of the Home Office’s knife‑sales licensing proposals are too significant not to share more widely. Our new Trade section is designed to give RFDs – and anyone operating in the wider outdoor, sporting, and specialist retail space – clear, practical insight into regulatory changes that directly affect day‑to‑day business.

This article sets out the key issues the sector needs to understand, the operational risks that have been overlooked, and why a strong, informed response from the trade is essential.

Introduction:

Knife crime remains one of the most significant threats to public safety in the UK. After nearly three decades dealing with the consequences of this on the streets of London, I have no doubt about the scale of harm it causes. The Government’s ambition to halve knife crime over the next decade is something every one of us should support.

However, the recently announced Home Office consultation on licensing knife sellers raises serious concerns. The proposals concern the introduction of a new licensing regime covering the sale and importation of knives – affecting retailers, private individuals, online sellers, second hand markets, and anyone importing bladed items for personal use. This is one of the most far reaching regulatory expansions in recent years.

It is essential that the trade responds, not least because:

  • Many RFDS also trade in outdoor equipment, sporting goods and knives. Any new regulatory burden will directly affect them.
  • The consultation repeatedly references firearms licensing and proposes that police take the primary role in administering and enforcing this new scheme. Firearms licensing teams are already under severe strain; adding a vastly larger licensing population risks further degrading service to the shooting community.
  • Significant legislation already exists to prevent underage knife sales, and police and Trading Standards already have the powers to enforce it.

Please note, in writing this article I have consulted with a variety of partners including the British Shooting Sports Council.

Key Issues and Concerns

1. Unrealistic Expectations on Policing

The independent review by Commander Stephen Clayman states:

Lessons learned from firearms licensing shows that the regulation of the weapons markets reduces the availability and use of weapons in incidents, but it comes at significant cost to law enforcement.

Firearms licensing and knife sales are not directly comparable. Even if they were, forces already struggle to meet statutory firearms licensing obligations. Adding a licensing population potentially larger than the entire firearms community is operationally unachievable and would inevitably divert resources from their core functions.

2. Vague and Subjective Suitability Criteria

The consultation refers to “intelligence”, “dishonesty”, and “concerns” as grounds for refusing or revoking a licence but provides no definitions. This mirrors the inconsistent decision making and postcode lottery already seen in firearms licensing. Without a single clear primary agency in place and statutory criteria, the risk of arbitrary or uneven enforcement is high.

3. Import Licensing Is Unworkable at Scale

Border Force cannot realistically police millions of parcels containing kitchen knives, craft knives, or tools. The proposals offer no credible enforcement model for imports, and risk creating a system that is burdensome for legitimate users while having little impact on illicit supply.

4. Weak Evidence Base

The consultation cites knife crime statistics but provides no evidence that licensing sellers or importers reduces harm.

The Clayman review is explicit:

  • There is no standardised national data from police or hospitals capturing the types of knives used in crime.
  • That data does not exist to support targeted regulation of knife types.
  • The only available dataset of this kind relates to homicides (ONS 2024), which shows that 53% of fatal offences involve a kitchen knife.

This means the majority of weapons used in the most serious incidents are already present in the home. Regulating the sale of outdoor knives, tools, or specialist equipment will not meaningfully address the highest risk category.

There is also no analysis of:

  • whether offenders would simply shift to unregulated channels
  • whether the proposals would push legitimate trade underground
  • whether enforcement would divert police resources from more effective interventions

For a policy with such wide regulatory reach, this is a major omission.

Your Voice Matters

This consultation will shape the future regulatory landscape for knives and may set precedents for other licensing regimes. It is vital that practitioners, businesses, and individuals with operational experience respond.

We encourage all trade members to:

  • Read the consultation in full
  • Consider how the proposals would affect your business or activities
  • Submit a response highlighting practical, evidence based concerns

Key opportunities to respond include:

  • Questions 4 & 5 -whether businesses or private individuals should be licensed
  • Question 8 -describing the operational impact on your business
  • Question 9 – making any other comments.

Please note, both questions 8 and 9 have 250 word limits. It is therefore important to use this space well to highlight key issues or use the email address below to add further information.
If you would like support drafting your response, or wish to contribute to a coordinated sector submission, please get in touch at info@firearmslicensing.net.

To respond, search “Home Office knife sales consultation” or visit:

https://www.gov.uk/government/consultations/licensing-for-knife-sales/licensing-for-knife-sales-accessible

You can complete the online form or email:

KnifeLicensingConsultation@homeoffice.gov.uk